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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

May He bless and keep us

Created by: AvrahamTheAnalyzer AvrahamTheAnalyzer
Started: 10/2020
Last trade: Today
Trading style: Futures Trend-following Currencies

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $101.00 per month.


C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Category: Equity


Buys when price goes up, and sells when price goes down, expecting price movements to continue. There are a number of different techniques and time-frames used, including moving averages and channel breakouts. Traders do not aim to forecast specific price levels; they simply jump on a trend and ride it. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
Category: Equity


Focuses on currency futures.
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations


To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

Max Drawdown
Num Trades
Win Trades
4.5 : 1
Profit Factor
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
2020                                                               (4.6%)+26.6%+25.7%+51.9%
2021+12.5%                                                                  +12.5%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 137 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Download CSV
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
1/18/21 20:59 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 5 1.36064 1/19 9:08 1.36195 0.44%
Trade id #133443787
Max drawdown($74)
Time1/19/21 6:14
Quant open4
Worst price1.36251
Drawdown as % of equity-0.44%
1/12/21 4:47 GBP/JPY GBP/JPY SHORT 8 141.728 1/18 21:16 141.465 2.45%
Trade id #133320626
Max drawdown($395)
Time1/13/21 0:00
Quant open7
Worst price142.259
Drawdown as % of equity-2.45%
1/12/21 4:32 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 9 1.36242 1/18 2:06 1.36273 3.96%
Trade id #133320440
Max drawdown($640)
Time1/13/21 0:00
Quant open6
Worst price1.37012
Drawdown as % of equity-3.96%
1/6/21 2:36 EUR/USD EUR/USD SHORT 7 1.23412 1/6 10:58 1.22908 0.37%
Trade id #133200483
Max drawdown($57)
Time1/6/21 6:35
Quant open7
Worst price1.23495
Drawdown as % of equity-0.37%
12/30/20 10:09 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 22 1.36243 1/5/21 12:07 1.36113 7.96%
Trade id #133091130
Max drawdown($1,160)
Time1/4/21 0:00
Quant open16
Worst price1.37039
Drawdown as % of equity-7.96%
12/30/20 4:35 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 9 1.35845 12/30 9:37 1.35802 1.78%
Trade id #133085723
Max drawdown($274)
Time12/30/20 9:01
Quant open9
Worst price1.36150
Drawdown as % of equity-1.78%
12/30/20 2:38 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 6 1.35435 12/30 3:04 1.35407 n/a $17
12/30/20 1:56 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 2 1.35433 12/30 2:13 1.35447 0.08%
Trade id #133084031
Max drawdown($13)
Time12/30/20 2:01
Quant open2
Worst price1.35367
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
12/29/20 1:45 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 1 1.34799 12/29 1:56 1.34741 n/a $6
12/28/20 10:41 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 1 1.34600 12/28 21:00 1.34756 0.2%
Trade id #133046205
Max drawdown($30)
Time12/28/20 10:58
Quant open1
Worst price1.34291
Drawdown as % of equity-0.20%
12/28/20 7:27 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 2 1.34912 12/28 8:01 1.35104 0.11%
Trade id #133040789
Max drawdown($17)
Time12/28/20 7:37
Quant open2
Worst price1.34827
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
12/24/20 14:00 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 1 1.35346 12/27 19:06 1.35551 0.02%
Trade id #133011445
Max drawdown($3)
Time12/24/20 14:03
Quant open1
Worst price1.35310
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
12/24/20 4:55 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 6 1.36002 12/24 9:36 1.35945 0.74%
Trade id #133000967
Max drawdown($115)
Time12/24/20 5:24
Quant open6
Worst price1.36194
Drawdown as % of equity-0.74%
12/24/20 2:36 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 3 1.35762 12/24 3:06 1.35721 0.04%
Trade id #132999654
Max drawdown($5)
Time12/24/20 2:42
Quant open2
Worst price1.35804
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
12/23/20 20:17 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 3 1.35317 12/24 2:09 1.35543 0.93%
Trade id #132996973
Max drawdown($144)
Time12/24/20 0:00
Quant open3
Worst price1.34837
Drawdown as % of equity-0.93%
12/23/20 20:16 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 1 1.35315 12/23 20:16 1.35306 0.01%
Trade id #132996964
Max drawdown($1)
Time12/23/20 20:16
Quant open1
Worst price1.35306
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
12/23/20 2:06 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 5 1.34255 12/23 3:07 1.34286 n/a $15
12/22/20 10:30 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 3 1.33667 12/22 10:48 1.33465 0.39%
Trade id #132962975
Max drawdown($60)
Time12/22/20 10:48
Quant open3
Worst price1.33467
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
12/22/20 9:16 GBP/JPY GBP/JPY LONG 2 138.607 12/22 9:19 138.521 0.13%
Trade id #132959937
Max drawdown($20)
Time12/22/20 9:19
Quant open2
Worst price138.503
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
12/22/20 5:19 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 5 1.33956 12/22 8:42 1.34071 0.63%
Trade id #132956299
Max drawdown($97)
Time12/22/20 5:33
Quant open5
Worst price1.33760
Drawdown as % of equity-0.63%
12/22/20 2:48 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 10 1.34409 12/22 4:44 1.34412 1.69%
Trade id #132954429
Max drawdown($262)
Time12/22/20 4:06
Quant open10
Worst price1.34146
Drawdown as % of equity-1.69%
12/22/20 1:52 NZD/USD NZD/USD SHORT 3 0.70546 12/22 3:13 0.70644 0.21%
Trade id #132953792
Max drawdown($32)
Time12/22/20 2:50
Quant open3
Worst price0.70654
Drawdown as % of equity-0.21%
12/22/20 2:39 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 2 1.34275 12/22 2:46 1.34343 0.16%
Trade id #132954295
Max drawdown($25)
Time12/22/20 2:46
Quant open2
Worst price1.34401
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
12/20/20 19:47 NZD/USD NZD/USD LONG 5 0.70916 12/21 12:14 0.70868 3.19%
Trade id #132925333
Max drawdown($447)
Time12/21/20 5:30
Quant open5
Worst price0.70021
Drawdown as % of equity-3.19%
12/21/20 2:00 USD/JPY USD/JPY SHORT 4 103.418 12/21 9:55 103.604 1.3%
Trade id #132928708
Max drawdown($182)
Time12/21/20 5:39
Quant open4
Worst price103.890
Drawdown as % of equity-1.30%
12/21/20 2:44 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 11 1.32411 12/21 9:42 1.32879 4.16%
Trade id #132929372
Max drawdown($587)
Time12/21/20 5:27
Quant open11
Worst price1.31877
Drawdown as % of equity-4.16%
12/17/20 7:03 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 8 1.35839 12/18 3:51 1.35434 0.52%
Trade id #132880828
Max drawdown($78)
Time12/17/20 12:45
Quant open5
Worst price1.36248
Drawdown as % of equity-0.52%
12/17/20 3:16 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 4 1.35780 12/17 4:38 1.35800 0.26%
Trade id #132878649
Max drawdown($38)
Time12/17/20 3:21
Quant open4
Worst price1.35683
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
12/17/20 2:58 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 4 1.35732 12/17 3:02 1.35830 0.3%
Trade id #132878410
Max drawdown($45)
Time12/17/20 3:02
Quant open4
Worst price1.35845
Drawdown as % of equity-0.30%
12/17/20 2:33 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 4 1.35759 12/17 2:38 1.35740 0.02%
Trade id #132878160
Max drawdown($2)
Time12/17/20 2:38
Quant open4
Worst price1.35766
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%


  • Strategy began
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
  • Strategy Age (days)
  • Age
    83 days ago
  • What it trades
  • # Trades
  • # Profitable
  • % Profitable
  • Avg trade duration
    16.7 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
  • drawdown period
    Dec 18, 2020 - Dec 21, 2020
  • Cumul. Return
  • Avg win
  • Avg loss
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
  • Margin Used
  • Buying Power
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
  • Sharpe Ratio
  • Sortino Ratio
  • Calmar Ratio
  • Correlation to SP500
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
  • Percent Trades Futures
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
  • Strat abandoned?
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
  • TOS percent
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
  • Avg Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
  • # Winners
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
  • Win / Loss
  • Num Months Winners
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader num accounts)
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
  • % Winners
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.7 days
  • Last Trade Ago
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
  • Daily leverage (max)
  • Regression
  • Alpha
  • Beta
  • Treynor Index
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?

Strategy Description

I'm a married, 50 year old man, father of 3, having first studied technical analysis in my early teens, under my father's tuterage. He taught me, "We can beat the market" by identifying consistent repeatable "graph patterns" and the following price action. I've never given up on "that dream" and have always believed that if the Almighty had me learn that, from my father, in my formable years, then it was intended for me to use that knowledge successfully, to help other people.
We're in a Currency Exchange Business. Money has to be respected! It has to be protected! It is our only Merchandise! We Must Have Stops And "I Do Place Stop Losses" To Protect Our Investments!!! and I Will Never achieve 100% profitable trades!!! Most of my trades are closed the same day, save small positions of the original trade where I try to see If we can turn it into a profitable swing trade. I don't feel comfortable with riding big positions for days - and I don't want us to pay interest!!
I'd like to guide our group to "actualize profits" by rewarding ourselves, with periodic withdrawals, and reducing monetary extension, and re-allowing the new "Small Guys" to join the procession.
The initial subscription fee is lower than my assessed value. The intention being to periodically increase it, in accordance with its proven fair value. If you "feel' you need an initial discount to help get you started, send me a message, maybe we can arrange for you a starting discount.
May "His"- "guiding force" be with us, with Health, Happiness, and Wealth,

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
Suggested Minimum Capital
# Trades
# Profitable
% Profitable
Correlation S&P500
Sharpe Ratio
Sortino Ratio
9.12 Average
30.98 Maximum
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.