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DV Pro
(123258022)

Created by: GSPTrader GSPTrader
Started: 04/2019
Futures
Last trade: 3 days ago
Trading style: Futures Momentum Short Term

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $200.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
Short Term
Category: Equity

Short Term

Makes short-term trades or bases analysis on short-term market movements.
75.9%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(43.4%)
Max Drawdown
256
Num Trades
53.1%
Win Trades
1.4 : 1
Profit Factor
81.8%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019                     +10.0%(27.4%)+3.0%+16.3%+4.9%+47.7%+13.2%+2.1%+10.5%+89.1%
2020+3.7%(10.3%)                                                            (7%)

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 72 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 267 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
2/20/20 7:09 @CCK0 COCOA SHORT 2 2825 2/20 10:02 2874 2.09%
Trade id #127614946
Max drawdown($920)
Time2/20/20 9:58
Quant open2
Worst price2871
Drawdown as % of equity-2.09%
($996)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/19/20 20:18 @SMK0 SOYBEAN MEAL LONG 6 299.1 2/20 7:05 296.9 2.79%
Trade id #127609546
Max drawdown($1,237)
Time2/20/20 7:02
Quant open6
Worst price297.0
Drawdown as % of equity-2.79%
($1,346)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
2/19/20 20:18 @SK0 SOYBEANS LONG 3 905 1/4 2/20 7:01 901 1/4 1.16%
Trade id #127609552
Max drawdown($525)
Time2/20/20 6:09
Quant open3
Worst price901 3/4
Drawdown as % of equity-1.16%
($624)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
2/19/20 7:12 @SMK0 SOYBEAN MEAL LONG 4 298.6 2/19 14:14 298.6 1.81%
Trade id #127592419
Max drawdown($830)
Time2/19/20 9:31
Quant open4
Worst price296.5
Drawdown as % of equity-1.81%
($22)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
2/19/20 12:42 @SK0 SOYBEANS LONG 3 906 2/19 14:13 904 1/4 0.65%
Trade id #127601507
Max drawdown($300)
Time2/19/20 14:06
Quant open3
Worst price904
Drawdown as % of equity-0.65%
($287)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
2/18/20 4:19 @SMK0 SOYBEAN MEAL LONG 6 298.1 2/18 14:14 297.5 3.4%
Trade id #127566592
Max drawdown($1,560)
Time2/18/20 9:31
Quant open6
Worst price295.5
Drawdown as % of equity-3.40%
($408)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
2/13/20 20:41 @SMH0 SOYBEAN MEAL SHORT 4 291.0 2/14 14:07 290.6 0.51%
Trade id #127504706
Max drawdown($240)
Time2/14/20 0:00
Quant open4
Worst price291.6
Drawdown as % of equity-0.51%
$128
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
2/12/20 20:45 @SH0 SOYBEANS LONG 3 893 2/4 2/13 14:00 894 3/4 1.62%
Trade id #127485685
Max drawdown($750)
Time2/13/20 0:00
Quant open3
Worst price888 2/4
Drawdown as % of equity-1.62%
$164
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
2/12/20 9:42 @CTH0 COTTON - #2 LONG 2 6834 2/12 14:17 6848 0.65%
Trade id #127474630
Max drawdown($300)
Time2/12/20 11:46
Quant open2
Worst price6804
Drawdown as % of equity-0.65%
$124
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/12/20 9:54 @SH0 SOYBEANS LONG 3 888 3/4 2/12 14:13 892 0.73%
Trade id #127475049
Max drawdown($337)
Time2/12/20 11:35
Quant open3
Worst price886 2/4
Drawdown as % of equity-0.73%
$464
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
2/11/20 6:02 @CTH0 COTTON - #2 LONG 1 6847 2/11 14:17 6831 0.51%
Trade id #127452502
Max drawdown($235)
Time2/11/20 12:18
Quant open1
Worst price6800
Drawdown as % of equity-0.51%
($88)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/10/20 22:34 @SH0 SOYBEANS LONG 2 888 1/4 2/11 11:48 882 2/4 2.2%
Trade id #127449653
Max drawdown($1,025)
Time2/11/20 0:00
Quant open2
Worst price878
Drawdown as % of equity-2.20%
($591)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/10/20 14:15 @CTH0 COTTON - #2 SHORT 2 6817 2/10 14:17 6815 0.11%
Trade id #127443733
Max drawdown($50)
Time2/10/20 14:16
Quant open2
Worst price6822
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
$4
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/10/20 5:24 @CTH0 COTTON - #2 LONG 2 6814 2/10 14:15 6818 0.76%
Trade id #127433259
Max drawdown($360)
Time2/10/20 11:20
Quant open2
Worst price6778
Drawdown as % of equity-0.76%
$24
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/9/20 20:54 @WH0 WHEAT SHORT 4 555 1/4 2/10 14:11 553 2/4 2.38%
Trade id #127430606
Max drawdown($1,100)
Time2/10/20 0:00
Quant open4
Worst price560 3/4
Drawdown as % of equity-2.38%
$318
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
2/7/20 10:21 @WH0 WHEAT LONG 5 559 3/4 2/7 14:14 558 3/4 0.94%
Trade id #127412556
Max drawdown($437)
Time2/7/20 14:14
Quant open5
Worst price558
Drawdown as % of equity-0.94%
($315)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/5/20 20:16 @WH0 WHEAT LONG 5 564 1/4 2/6 8:05 556 3/4 4.42%
Trade id #127385454
Max drawdown($2,125)
Time2/6/20 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price555 3/4
Drawdown as % of equity-4.42%
($1,915)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/5/20 4:41 @WH0 WHEAT LONG 3 562 2/5 14:10 561 2/4 2.02%
Trade id #127369485
Max drawdown($987)
Time2/5/20 10:27
Quant open3
Worst price555 2/4
Drawdown as % of equity-2.02%
($112)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
1/31/20 10:51 @ESH0 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 2 3245.25 1/31 16:10 3227.75 0.79%
Trade id #127310619
Max drawdown($375)
Time1/31/20 11:05
Quant open2
Worst price3249.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.79%
$1,734
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
1/29/20 21:14 @RTYH0 Russell 2000 CME SHORT 2 1643.60 1/30 15:50 1647.70 1.75%
Trade id #127278387
Max drawdown($840)
Time1/30/20 0:00
Quant open2
Worst price1652.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.75%
($426)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
1/28/20 10:10 @SMH0 SOYBEAN MEAL LONG 3 299.2 1/28 13:10 296.8 1.75%
Trade id #127249403
Max drawdown($840)
Time1/28/20 11:59
Quant open3
Worst price296.4
Drawdown as % of equity-1.75%
($744)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
1/28/20 4:06 @SFH0 SWISS FRANC LONG 2 1.0365 1/28 7:13 1.0332 1.6%
Trade id #127244881
Max drawdown($787)
Time1/28/20 7:00
Quant open2
Worst price1.0333
Drawdown as % of equity-1.60%
($829)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
1/26/20 18:03 @ESH0 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 2 3266.00 1/27 16:00 3241.25 0.79%
Trade id #127223602
Max drawdown($375)
Time1/27/20 0:00
Quant open2
Worst price3269.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.79%
$2,459
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
1/27/20 3:27 @SFH0 SWISS FRANC SHORT 1 1.0325 1/27 8:34 1.0356 0.74%
Trade id #127227523
Max drawdown($362)
Time1/27/20 6:00
Quant open1
Worst price1.0354
Drawdown as % of equity-0.74%
($396)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
1/24/20 10:45 @ESH0 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 3 3316.67 1/24 16:07 3304.00 1.32%
Trade id #127204517
Max drawdown($583)
Time1/24/20 11:10
Quant open2
Worst price3322.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.32%
$1,876
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
1/24/20 10:42 @RTYH0 Russell 2000 CME SHORT 1 1674.40 1/24 16:02 1663.90 0.39%
Trade id #127204071
Max drawdown($175)
Time1/24/20 11:12
Quant open1
Worst price1677.90
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
$517
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
1/24/20 8:35 QSIH0 Silver 5000 oz LONG 1 17.930 1/24 14:52 18.105 1.03%
Trade id #127198846
Max drawdown($450)
Time1/24/20 9:27
Quant open1
Worst price17.840
Drawdown as % of equity-1.03%
$867
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
1/24/20 7:58 @SFH0 SWISS FRANC SHORT 2 1.0327 1/24 10:55 1.0335 1.26%
Trade id #127198392
Max drawdown($550)
Time1/24/20 9:01
Quant open2
Worst price1.0349
Drawdown as % of equity-1.26%
($216)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
1/20/20 20:31 QHGH0 Copper SHORT 1 283.05 1/21 12:59 279.30 1.72%
Trade id #127107519
Max drawdown($762)
Time1/21/20 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price286.10
Drawdown as % of equity-1.72%
$930
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
1/20/20 20:32 @BPH0 BRITISH POUND SHORT 2 1.3018 1/21 6:10 1.3080 1.64%
Trade id #127107536
Max drawdown($725)
Time1/21/20 6:10
Quant open2
Worst price1.3076
Drawdown as % of equity-1.64%
($791)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    4/9/2019
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $45,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    319.91
  • Age
    11 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    256
  • # Profitable
    136
  • % Profitable
    53.10%
  • Avg trade duration
    10.3 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    43.4%
  • drawdown period
    May 07, 2019 - May 15, 2019
  • Cumul. Return
    75.9%
  • Avg win
    $683.51
  • Avg loss
    $563.90
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $50,289
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $50,289
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.37:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.41
  • Sortino Ratio
    2.15
  • Calmar Ratio
    3.56
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    59.97%
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.03710
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    15.97%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    89.5%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    0.14%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.07%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.759%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    121.4%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    48.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    21.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    9.50%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    1.50%
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    917
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    815
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    867
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
    0
  • Strat abandoned?
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $564
  • Avg Win
    $684
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $67,668.000
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader num accounts)
    2
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    11
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $92,957.000
  • # Winners
    136
  • Num Months Winners
    9
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    92466
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    120
  • % Winners
    53.1%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    617.80
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    10.30
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.4 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    2
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    6.45
  • Daily leverage (max)
    39.45
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.20
  • Beta
    -0.13
  • Treynor Index
    -1.54
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    44.74
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    15.07
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.06
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.03
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    8.378
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.03
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.568
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.429
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.119
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.00858
  • SD
    0.47415
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.12713
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.94393
  • df
    9.00000
  • t
    1.94179
  • p
    0.04203
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.27623
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.43422
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.38334
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.27120
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.11026
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.29700
  • Upside part of mean
    1.29979
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.29120
  • Upside SD
    0.47634
  • Downside SD
    0.24538
  • N nonnegative terms
    8.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    10.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.16764
  • Mean of criterion
    1.00858
  • SD of predictor
    0.10202
  • SD of criterion
    0.47415
  • Covariance
    0.00233
  • r
    0.04807
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.22342
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.97113
  • Mean Square Error
    0.25234
  • DF error
    8.00000
  • t(b)
    0.13612
  • p(b)
    0.44754
  • t(a)
    1.57848
  • p(a)
    0.07655
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.56132
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    4.00815
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.44759
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.38986
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    4.51440
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.97113
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.87111
  • SD
    0.47283
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.84232
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.68365
  • df
    9.00000
  • t
    1.68180
  • p
    0.06345
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.50618
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.10377
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.59992
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.96723
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.14800
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.32541
  • Upside part of mean
    1.19692
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.32581
  • Upside SD
    0.43345
  • Downside SD
    0.27672
  • N nonnegative terms
    8.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    10.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.16149
  • Mean of criterion
    0.87111
  • SD of predictor
    0.10150
  • SD of criterion
    0.47283
  • Covariance
    0.00196
  • r
    0.04084
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.19024
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.84039
  • Mean Square Error
    0.25110
  • DF error
    8.00000
  • t(b)
    0.11560
  • p(b)
    0.45541
  • t(a)
    1.37797
  • p(a)
    0.10276
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.60457
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.98505
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.56598
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.24675
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    4.57896
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.84039
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.14094
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.18755
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02613
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.07039
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    10.00000
  • Minimum
    0.77918
  • Quartile 1
    1.04850
  • Median
    1.09433
  • Quartile 3
    1.17894
  • Maximum
    1.27030
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.93527
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.06948
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.13344
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.21738
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.13044
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.10000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.77918
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.73895
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.26245
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    1.47579
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01719
  • Quartile 1
    0.06810
  • Median
    0.11901
  • Quartile 3
    0.16991
  • Maximum
    0.22082
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01719
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.22082
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.10181
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.33832
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.45718
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    6.59891
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    6.59891
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    7.76953
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.87564
  • SD
    0.40114
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.18286
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.17541
  • df
    220.00000
  • t
    2.00480
  • p
    0.02311
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.03665
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.32418
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.03171
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.31911
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.40937
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.33395
  • Upside part of mean
    2.39727
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.52163
  • Upside SD
    0.31169
  • Downside SD
    0.25683
  • N nonnegative terms
    104.00000
  • N negative terms
    117.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    221.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15547
  • Mean of criterion
    0.87564
  • SD of predictor
    0.12417
  • SD of criterion
    0.40114
  • Covariance
    0.00067
  • r
    0.01343
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.04339
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.86900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.16162
  • DF error
    219.00000
  • t(b)
    0.19877
  • p(b)
    0.42131
  • t(a)
    1.97907
  • p(a)
    0.02453
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.38682
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.47359
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.00361
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.73418
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    20.18200
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.86889
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.79412
  • SD
    0.40149
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.97794
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.97118
  • df
    220.00000
  • t
    1.81659
  • p
    0.03532
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.16625
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.11774
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.17079
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.11316
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.98182
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.82469
  • Upside part of mean
    2.35020
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.55608
  • Upside SD
    0.30322
  • Downside SD
    0.26632
  • N nonnegative terms
    104.00000
  • N negative terms
    117.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    221.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.14771
  • Mean of criterion
    0.79412
  • SD of predictor
    0.12458
  • SD of criterion
    0.40149
  • Covariance
    0.00088
  • r
    0.01761
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.05676
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.78574
  • Mean Square Error
    0.16188
  • DF error
    219.00000
  • t(b)
    0.26066
  • p(b)
    0.39730
  • t(a)
    1.78879
  • p(a)
    0.03752
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.37238
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.48589
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.07997
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.65145
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    13.99150
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.78574
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03706
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04695
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01357
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02932
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    221.00000
  • Minimum
    0.90055
  • Quartile 1
    0.99592
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.01000
  • Maximum
    1.09609
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97829
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99899
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00456
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03241
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01408
  • Number outliers low
    11.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.04977
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.93938
  • Number of outliers high
    23.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.10407
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05223
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.42117
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01648
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.03485
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.09748
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01880
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02969
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    16.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00163
  • Quartile 1
    0.00408
  • Median
    0.01297
  • Quartile 3
    0.05334
  • Maximum
    0.35815
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00248
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00627
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02497
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.15110
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04926
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06250
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.35815
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.61996
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.17009
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.46618
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.80919
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.18706
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.18609
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.27511
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.56023
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    8.43872
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    27.15740
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.27118
  • SD
    0.31610
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    4.02140
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.99816
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    2.84356
  • p
    0.37901
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.19947
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.82851
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.18407
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.81224
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    8.22756
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    15.07670
  • Upside part of mean
    2.32940
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.05821
  • Upside SD
    0.28540
  • Downside SD
    0.15450
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.25875
  • Mean of criterion
    1.27118
  • SD of predictor
    0.10687
  • SD of criterion
    0.31610
  • Covariance
    -0.00152
  • r
    -0.04506
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.13327
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    1.30567
  • Mean Square Error
    0.10049
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.51229
  • p(b)
    0.52868
  • t(a)
    2.88012
  • p(a)
    0.34511
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.64799
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.38144
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.40873
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.20261
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -9.53827
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    1.30567
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.21941
  • SD
    0.31207
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    3.90748
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.88489
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    2.76301
  • p
    0.38224
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.08805
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.71234
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.07315
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.69664
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    7.74642
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    14.54580
  • Upside part of mean
    2.28974
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.07034
  • Upside SD
    0.27846
  • Downside SD
    0.15742
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.25291
  • Mean of criterion
    1.21941
  • SD of predictor
    0.10708
  • SD of criterion
    0.31207
  • Covariance
    -0.00142
  • r
    -0.04250
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.12385
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    1.25073
  • Mean Square Error
    0.09797
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.48311
  • p(b)
    0.52705
  • t(a)
    2.79578
  • p(a)
    0.34930
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03700
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.63109
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.38338
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.36561
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.13585
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -9.84548
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    1.25073
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02670
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03448
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00867
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01827
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.93522
  • Quartile 1
    0.99627
  • Median
    1.00125
  • Quartile 3
    1.00995
  • Maximum
    1.08030
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98517
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99916
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00581
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02973
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01369
  • Number outliers low
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02290
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95756
  • Number of outliers high
    13.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.09924
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04778
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.15349
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01159
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01819
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.11367
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01446
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02269
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    14.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00163
  • Quartile 1
    0.00385
  • Median
    0.00786
  • Quartile 3
    0.06226
  • Maximum
    0.09247
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00248
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00515
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02556
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.07830
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.05841
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.51419
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08732
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.09353
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.07713
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.08474
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.09703
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -237330000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    8
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.73148
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    2.48098
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    26.83070
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    31.68750
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    71.95350

Strategy Description

DV Pro is a systematic trading strategy designed to take advantage of short term price moves of markets, usually as day trades. Multiple risk controls are used to determine position sizes. When there are no high probability trades, the system will be out of the market. The system is designed to maximize long-term, compounded returns with manageable drawdowns. Because of the number of short term trades, transaction costs can be significant. The program trades active U.S. futures contracts. Funds are shifted to those markets showing the best opportunities. Stop orders, limit orders, or market orders may be used to enter or exit markets at the discretion of the manager.

The minimum capital commitment to this program should be at least equal to Total System Equity shown for the account. A majority of the equity may be used for the daily margin requirements. Less capital will lead to greater volatility, larger percentage drawdowns, and missed trades. Scaling at less than 100% may result in performance different from the model.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2019-04-09
Suggested Minimum Capital
$45,000
Rank at C2 
#123
# Trades
256
# Profitable
136
% Profitable
53.1%
Correlation S&P500
-0.037
Sharpe Ratio
1.41
Sortino Ratio
2.15
Beta
-0.13
Alpha
0.20
Leverage
6.45 Average
39.45 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.