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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Futrs only
(122397210)

Created by: Colin Colin
Started: 02/2019
Futures
Last trade: 8 days ago
Trading style: Futures Financials / Indexes

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $120.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Financials / Indexes
Category: Equity

Financials / Indexes

Focuses on market indexes or interest rates futures.
61.2%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(6.3%)
Max Drawdown
776
Num Trades
58.9%
Win Trades
2.0 : 1
Profit Factor
95.2%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019       +11.4%+6.4%+36.4%+9.3%+1.1%+1.5%+4.0%+2.0%(1.1%)+0.5%+0.5%+92.2%
2020+1.8%+0.8%+0.6%+4.6%+1.1%+2.7%+0.7%+0.6%+1.9%+1.8%            +17.8%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 1,040 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
10/12/20 8:46 @MESZ0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 3498.55 10/12 11:18 3517.35 0.32%
Trade id #131640828
Max drawdown($188)
Time10/12/20 9:31
Quant open5
Worst price3491.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.32%
$465
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
10/12/20 4:05 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3481.27 10/12 8:46 3498.25 0.04%
Trade id #131636625
Max drawdown($25)
Time10/12/20 4:10
Quant open1
Worst price3480.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$841
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/9/20 8:30 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 3455.59 10/9 9:39 3456.25 0.09%
Trade id #131610447
Max drawdown($54)
Time10/9/20 8:37
Quant open1
Worst price3453.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
$50
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
10/9/20 3:35 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3452.29 10/9 4:14 3450.12 0.26%
Trade id #131607561
Max drawdown($151)
Time10/9/20 3:51
Quant open1
Worst price3449.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
($116)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/8/20 15:12 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 3 3436.05 10/8 15:46 3435.99 0.98%
Trade id #131598625
Max drawdown($569)
Time10/8/20 15:17
Quant open3
Worst price3432.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.98%
($33)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
10/8/20 12:23 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 3431.85 10/8 15:01 3431.24 0.67%
Trade id #131595153
Max drawdown($385)
Time10/8/20 14:03
Quant open2
Worst price3428.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.67%
($77)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
10/8/20 9:54 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3431.00 10/8 11:31 3425.67 0.71%
Trade id #131589418
Max drawdown($412)
Time10/8/20 10:03
Quant open1
Worst price3422.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.71%
($274)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/8/20 6:32 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3423.59 10/8 6:49 3422.46 0.16%
Trade id #131585327
Max drawdown($92)
Time10/8/20 6:45
Quant open1
Worst price3421.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
($65)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/6/20 7:52 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3394.05 10/6 8:35 3399.12 0.16%
Trade id #131536386
Max drawdown($90)
Time10/6/20 8:03
Quant open1
Worst price3392.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
$245
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/6/20 5:35 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 3 3385.60 10/6 7:52 3393.71 0.93%
Trade id #131534393
Max drawdown($523)
Time10/6/20 6:03
Quant open2
Worst price3380.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.93%
$1,193
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
10/6/20 4:52 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 3385.19 10/6 5:20 3383.79 0.39%
Trade id #131533886
Max drawdown($219)
Time10/6/20 5:20
Quant open2
Worst price3383.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
($157)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
10/6/20 4:31 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3386.21 10/6 4:43 3380.81 0.5%
Trade id #131533573
Max drawdown($285)
Time10/6/20 4:43
Quant open1
Worst price3380.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.50%
($278)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/6/20 3:38 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3390.02 10/6 3:51 3386.53 0.35%
Trade id #131532777
Max drawdown($200)
Time10/6/20 3:51
Quant open1
Worst price3386.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
($182)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/6/20 1:54 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3394.04 10/6 3:16 3387.71 0.61%
Trade id #131531451
Max drawdown($351)
Time10/6/20 3:15
Quant open1
Worst price3387.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.61%
($324)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/5/20 23:19 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3397.23 10/6 1:09 3392.79 1.08%
Trade id #131530303
Max drawdown($623)
Time10/6/20 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price3384.75
Drawdown as % of equity-1.08%
($230)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/5/20 23:19 @MESZ0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 3397.15 10/5 23:19 3397.00 0.01%
Trade id #131530294
Max drawdown($4)
Time10/5/20 23:19
Quant open5
Worst price3397.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
($9)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
9/23/20 13:59 @ESZ0 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 3269.47 9/23 14:20 3250.91 n/a $920
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/10/20 9:08 @ESU0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3414.34 9/10 9:38 3417.65 0.27%
Trade id #131105217
Max drawdown($154)
Time9/10/20 9:32
Quant open1
Worst price3411.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.27%
$158
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/1/20 11:04 @ESU0 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 3506.00 9/1 11:19 3509.41 0.04%
Trade id #130922843
Max drawdown($25)
Time9/1/20 11:07
Quant open1
Worst price3505.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$162
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/18/20 5:36 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 3385.16 8/18 9:24 3381.65 0.08%
Trade id #130663813
Max drawdown($44)
Time8/18/20 9:24
Quant open2
Worst price3380.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
($37)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
8/18/20 2:38 @ESU0 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 3377.41 8/18 3:20 3374.54 0.03%
Trade id #130661719
Max drawdown($17)
Time8/18/20 2:42
Quant open1
Worst price3377.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$136
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/17/20 23:17 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 3 3380.15 8/18 2:37 3377.50 0.09%
Trade id #130659931
Max drawdown($51)
Time8/18/20 0:00
Quant open3
Worst price3376.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
($43)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
8/12/20 1:39 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 4 3333.36 8/12 2:08 3342.13 0%
Trade id #130573079
Max drawdown($2)
Time8/12/20 1:42
Quant open4
Worst price3333.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$171
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
8/10/20 9:32 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 3351.25 8/10 10:41 3348.00 0.09%
Trade id #130536325
Max drawdown($50)
Time8/10/20 10:05
Quant open2
Worst price3346.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
($35)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
8/4/20 10:13 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 4 3292.82 8/4 15:55 3294.77 0.49%
Trade id #130445175
Max drawdown($281)
Time8/4/20 14:39
Quant open4
Worst price3278.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.49%
$35
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
8/4/20 9:37 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 3280.34 8/4 10:13 3291.16 0.04%
Trade id #130443534
Max drawdown($21)
Time8/4/20 9:41
Quant open5
Worst price3279.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$265
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
8/3/20 9:44 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 3280.71 8/3 10:47 3280.50 0.14%
Trade id #130418918
Max drawdown($80)
Time8/3/20 9:54
Quant open5
Worst price3277.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
($10)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
7/27/20 10:18 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 4 3226.85 7/27 11:14 3222.25 0.18%
Trade id #130291615
Max drawdown($102)
Time7/27/20 11:14
Quant open4
Worst price3221.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
($96)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
7/27/20 9:43 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 10 3217.92 7/27 10:15 3224.24 0.01%
Trade id #130290329
Max drawdown($8)
Time7/27/20 9:46
Quant open5
Worst price3215.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$307
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.40
7/27/20 8:31 @MESU0 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 5 3218.69 7/27 8:58 3217.44 0.01%
Trade id #130288605
Max drawdown($7)
Time7/27/20 8:40
Quant open5
Worst price3219.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$26
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    2/6/2019
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $60,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    621.58
  • Age
    21 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    776
  • # Profitable
    457
  • % Profitable
    58.90%
  • Avg trade duration
    2.3 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    6.3%
  • drawdown period
    Feb 25, 2019 - March 01, 2019
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    61.2%
  • Avg win
    $184.59
  • Avg loss
    $134.53
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $67,536
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $67,536
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.97:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    2.92
  • Sortino Ratio
    7.23
  • Calmar Ratio
    17.088
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    100.88%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.01420
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    25.45%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    61.2%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    0.99%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.612%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    0.01%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    74.6%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    9898.00%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    951
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    992
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    961
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    983
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
    0
  • Strat abandoned?
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $135
  • Avg Win
    $185
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $42,915.000
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader num accounts)
    25
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    21
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $84,358.000
  • # Winners
    457
  • Num Months Winners
    20
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    3082270
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    319
  • % Winners
    58.9%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    136.58
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    2.28
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.1 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    8
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    4.14
  • Daily leverage (max)
    18.78
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.13
  • Beta
    0.01
  • Treynor Index
    18.52
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    24.80
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    8.30
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.29
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    4.820
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.430
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.002
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.206
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.60403
  • SD
    0.35431
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.70481
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.63647
  • df
    19.00000
  • t
    2.20090
  • p
    0.22309
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.07418
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.29580
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.03160
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.24133
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    198.44300
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    199.50000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.60725
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.00322
  • Upside SD
    0.38685
  • Downside SD
    0.00304
  • N nonnegative terms
    18.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    20.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13955
  • Mean of criterion
    0.60403
  • SD of predictor
    0.19440
  • SD of criterion
    0.35431
  • Covariance
    -0.00624
  • r
    -0.09056
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.16504
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.62706
  • Mean Square Error
    0.13142
  • DF error
    18.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.38578
  • p(b)
    0.54528
  • t(a)
    2.18424
  • p(a)
    0.27114
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.06384
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.73376
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.02392
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.23021
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -3.65982
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.62706
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.54272
  • SD
    0.29574
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.83513
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.76156
  • df
    19.00000
  • t
    2.36914
  • p
    0.20797
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.18911
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.43919
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.14336
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.37975
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    178.44200
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    179.50000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.54593
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.00322
  • Upside SD
    0.32806
  • Downside SD
    0.00304
  • N nonnegative terms
    18.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    20.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11887
  • Mean of criterion
    0.54272
  • SD of predictor
    0.20885
  • SD of criterion
    0.29574
  • Covariance
    -0.00474
  • r
    -0.07680
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.10875
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.55564
  • Mean Square Error
    0.09178
  • DF error
    18.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.32680
  • p(b)
    0.53840
  • t(a)
    2.33493
  • p(a)
    0.25892
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.80788
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.59038
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.05569
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.05560
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -4.99052
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.55564
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.09081
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.12223
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00012
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00049
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    20.00000
  • Minimum
    0.99892
  • Quartile 1
    1.01340
  • Median
    1.02659
  • Quartile 3
    1.03319
  • Maximum
    1.44507
  • Mean of quarter 1
    1.00440
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.01908
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.02854
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.15864
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01979
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.10000
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.32619
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00108
  • Quartile 1
    0.00108
  • Median
    0.00108
  • Quartile 3
    0.00108
  • Maximum
    0.00108
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.95304
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.76937
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    714.07800
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    6.29418
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.54560
  • SD
    0.12679
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    4.30332
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    4.29598
  • df
    440.00000
  • t
    5.58306
  • p
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.76376
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.83821
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.75884
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.83312
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    12.41880
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    17.73940
  • Upside part of mean
    0.77935
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.23375
  • Upside SD
    0.12347
  • Downside SD
    0.04393
  • N nonnegative terms
    199.00000
  • N negative terms
    242.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    441.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.14465
  • Mean of criterion
    0.54560
  • SD of predictor
    0.27400
  • SD of criterion
    0.12679
  • Covariance
    -0.00000
  • r
    -0.00003
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.00001
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.54600
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01611
  • DF error
    439.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.00057
  • p(b)
    0.50023
  • t(a)
    5.57376
  • p(a)
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.04342
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.04339
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.35321
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.73799
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -43604.20000
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.54560
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.53711
  • SD
    0.12508
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    4.29407
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    4.28675
  • df
    440.00000
  • t
    5.57106
  • p
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.75462
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.82885
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.74973
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.82377
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    12.14730
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    17.45520
  • Upside part of mean
    0.77181
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.23470
  • Upside SD
    0.12147
  • Downside SD
    0.04422
  • N nonnegative terms
    199.00000
  • N negative terms
    242.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    441.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.10682
  • Mean of criterion
    0.53711
  • SD of predictor
    0.27596
  • SD of criterion
    0.12508
  • Covariance
    0.00004
  • r
    0.00124
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00056
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.53705
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01568
  • DF error
    439.00000
  • t(b)
    0.02595
  • p(b)
    0.48966
  • t(a)
    5.56252
  • p(a)
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.04196
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.04308
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.34730
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.72680
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    956.94800
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.53705
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01060
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01379
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00212
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00468
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    441.00000
  • Minimum
    0.97694
  • Quartile 1
    0.99998
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00278
  • Maximum
    1.05313
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99669
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00114
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01098
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00280
  • Number outliers low
    24.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.05442
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.99009
  • Number of outliers high
    59.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.13379
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.01668
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.42308
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00292
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00656
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.26065
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00351
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00689
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    44.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00008
  • Quartile 1
    0.00120
  • Median
    0.00401
  • Quartile 3
    0.01009
  • Maximum
    0.04444
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00044
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00245
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00608
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.02018
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00889
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06818
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.03270
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.10946
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02064
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02608
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.08257
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02336
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.03263
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.94367
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.75948
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    17.08840
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    37.62830
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    55.07590
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.21593
  • SD
    0.05187
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    4.16267
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    4.13861
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    2.94345
  • p
    0.37502
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.33746
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.97256
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.32153
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.95570
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    8.78451
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    13.36210
  • Upside part of mean
    0.32845
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.11252
  • Upside SD
    0.04737
  • Downside SD
    0.02458
  • N nonnegative terms
    50.00000
  • N negative terms
    81.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.38280
  • Mean of criterion
    0.21593
  • SD of predictor
    0.21350
  • SD of criterion
    0.05187
  • Covariance
    0.00008
  • r
    0.00754
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00183
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.21523
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00271
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    0.08566
  • p(b)
    0.49520
  • t(a)
    2.90477
  • p(a)
    0.34389
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.04049
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.04416
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.06863
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.36182
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    117.83600
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.21523
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.21449
  • SD
    0.05172
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    4.14673
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    4.12276
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    2.93218
  • p
    0.37547
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.32186
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.95627
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.30602
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.93950
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    8.69123
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    13.26250
  • Upside part of mean
    0.32730
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.11281
  • Upside SD
    0.04713
  • Downside SD
    0.02468
  • N nonnegative terms
    50.00000
  • N negative terms
    81.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.35970
  • Mean of criterion
    0.21449
  • SD of predictor
    0.21479
  • SD of criterion
    0.05172
  • Covariance
    0.00008
  • r
    0.00703
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00169
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.21388
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00270
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    0.07984
  • p(b)
    0.49552
  • t(a)
    2.89708
  • p(a)
    0.34427
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01100
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.04026
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.04364
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.06781
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.35994
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    126.71100
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.21388
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00443
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00576
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00110
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00245
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98869
  • Quartile 1
    1.00000
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00134
  • Maximum
    1.01500
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99856
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00051
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00464
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00134
  • Number outliers low
    9.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.06870
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.99511
  • Number of outliers high
    17.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.12977
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.00709
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.99892
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00158
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00236
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.16717
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00161
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00371
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    11.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00008
  • Quartile 1
    0.00035
  • Median
    0.00246
  • Quartile 3
    0.00693
  • Maximum
    0.01698
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00013
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00124
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00518
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.01101
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00658
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.09091
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.01698
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.16892
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01255
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01760
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    2.65491
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02010
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -288729000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    4
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.25770
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.27430
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    16.15330
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    24.90520
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    47.65810

Strategy Description

This is the statement of my 8 Strategies:
1 C2star: MNQ Trader 5 Regular: MicroNQ start
2 C2star: RTY and FX: 6 Regular: ES Russell
3 C2star: ES DSXmes 7 Regular: Futrs only
4 C2star: YM AGRI 8 Regular: MYM far from

at the same time, I will only trade one pair strategies: 01pair 1,5; 02pair 2,6; 03pair 3,7; 04pair 4,8

strategy3 "ES DSXmes" will trade ES and DSX
strategy4 "YM AGRI " will trade YM and mini dax
all C2star strategies will trade micro forex-futures

Risk management: the risk of Regular strategies will be biger than C2star strategies.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2019-02-06
Suggested Minimum Capital
$60,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 3.9%
Rank # 
#26
# Trades
776
# Profitable
457
% Profitable
58.9%
Correlation S&P500
0.014
Sharpe Ratio
2.92
Sortino Ratio
7.23
Beta
0.01
Alpha
0.13
Leverage
4.14 Average
18.78 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.