Multimentum
(46840960)
Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $29.00 per month.
C2Star
C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.
You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.
Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.
Rate of Return Calculations
Overview
To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.
How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated
= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years))  1
Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in markedtomarket equity calculations.
All results are hypothetical.
Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec  YTD  

2010  (7.9%)  +3.2%  +6.3%  (4.3%)  (6.9%)  +4.0%  +3.1%  (6.4%)  +2.0%  +1.7%  +3.7%  (2.8%)  
2011  +0.9%  (1.7%)  +4.5%  +1.5%  (2.3%)  (7.6%)  (0.8%)  +4.7%  (8.3%)  +0.9%    +1.8%  (7%) 
2012  +3.3%  (0.4%)  (1.6%)  +1.2%  +3.2%  +4.2%  +0.3%  (4.3%)  +2.5%  +0.6%  (2.4%)  (11.6%)  (6%) 
2013  +4.1%  +0.8%  +2.5%  +0.2%  +0.1%  (11%)  (7.3%)  (5.5%)  +5.5%  +8.3%  +2.3%  +0.8%  (1.2%) 
2014  (2.8%)  +5.2%  +2.1%  +0.1%  +2.0%  +3.4%  (1.4%)  +6.8%  (4%)  +8.1%  +9.8%  +11.1%  +47.0% 
2015  +4.5%  (1%)  +1.6%  (9.1%)  +0.3%  (3.7%)  +15.9%  (10.6%)  (0.1%)  +7.1%  +9.8%  +6.9%  +20.2% 
2016  +3.2%  +1.4%  (2.5%)  (10.9%)  (2.3%)  +2.9%  +14.2%  (3.3%)  (6.3%)  (1.9%)  (1.9%)  (1.3%)  (10%) 
2017  +4.2%  +5.2%  +2.1%  +2.7%  +3.6%  +1.4%  (1.6%)  +2.9%  (1.8%)  +1.6%  +1.3%  +2.0%  +25.9% 
2018  +7.6%  (5.9%)  (8.3%)  +2.4%  +2.3%  (0.6%)  +6.0%  +4.0%  (0.6%)  (12.5%)  +11.5%  (15.5%)  (12.7%) 
2019  +12.9%  +3.4%  +3.7%  +2.7%  +0.4%    (1.1%)  +3.5%  +2.3%  +2.8%  +5.1%  +43.7%  
2020  +5.8%  (11%)  (12.7%)  +16.6%  (4.9%)  +2.9%  +8.3%  (31.7%)  (6.4%)  +5.6%  +3.8%  +1.4%  (27.9%) 
2021  (3%)  (0.4%)  +4.0%  +9.9%  +0.4%  +0.6%  +11.5% 
Model Account Details
A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.
Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.
Started  $97,179  
Buy Power  $142,169  
Cash  $50,622  
Equity  $91,546  
Cumulative $  $73,734  
Includes dividends and cashsettled expirations:  $16,666  Itemized 
Total System Equity  $170,913  
Margined  $0  
Open P/L  $88,022 
Trading Record
Statistics

Strategy began2/4/2010

Suggested Minimum Cap$97,179

Strategy Age (days)4151.42

Age139 months ago

What it tradesStocks

# Trades320

# Profitable154

% Profitable48.10%

Avg trade duration59.1 days

Max peaktovalley drawdown61.76%

drawdown periodFeb 18, 2020  Aug 18, 2020

Annual Return (Compounded)4.7%

Avg win$1,030

Avg loss$1,078
 Model Account Values (Raw)

Cash$50,622

Margin Used$0

Buying Power$142,169
 Ratios

W:L ratio1.07:1

Sharpe Ratio0.21

Sortino Ratio0.26

Calmar Ratio0.173
 CORRELATION STATISTICS

Return of Strat Pcnt  Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)228.57%

Correlation to SP5000.25670

Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life298.87%
 Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)4.7%
 Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity37.50%
 Instruments

Percent Trades Futuresn/a
 Slump

Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.11%
 Return Statistics

Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, agebased, NFA compliant)0.047%
 Instruments

Percent Trades Optionsn/a

Percent Trades Stocks1.00%

Percent Trades Forexn/a
 Return Statistics

Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.1%
 Risk of Ruin (MonteCarlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.00%

Chance of 20% account loss100.00%

Chance of 30% account loss100.00%

Chance of 40% account loss6.67%

Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a

Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a

Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a

Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a

Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
 Automation

Percentage Signals Automatedn/a
 Risk of Ruin (MonteCarlo)

Chance of 50% account lossn/a
 Popularity

Popularity (Today)0

Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
 Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10
 Popularity

Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0
 Management

No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)0
 TradesOwnSystem Certification

Trades Own System?

TOS percentn/a
 Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,094

Avg Win$1,550

Sum Trade PL (losers)$181,668.000
 Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table137
 Win / Loss

Sum Trade PL (winners)$238,699.000

# Winners154

Num Months Winners86
 Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct16666
 Win / Loss

# Losers166

% Winners48.1%
 Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)85147.60

Avg Position Time (hrs)1419.13

Avg Trade Length59.1 days

Last Trade Ago2804
 Regression

Alpha0.00

Beta0.39

Treynor Index0.04
 Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.07

MAE:PL  Winning Trades  this strat Percentile of All Strats97.44

MAE:PL  worst single value for strategy

MAE:PL  Losing Trades  this strat Percentile of All Strats99.33

MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)

MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)

MAE:PL (avg, all trades)17.13

MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03

MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.10

Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL)  All trades39.155

MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat

MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat

MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03

Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL)  Winning trades1.826

Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL)  Losing trades7.973

HoldandHope Ratio0.028
 Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
 RATIO STATISTICS
 Ratio statistics of excess return rates
 Statistics related to Sharpe ratio

Mean0.06988

SD0.23397

Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.29866

Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.29585

df80.00000

t0.77594

p0.22004

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.45807

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.05355

Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.45993

Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.05163
 Statistics related to Sortino ratio

Sortino ratio0.43472

Upside Potential Ratio1.97758

Upside part of mean0.31788

Downside part of mean0.24800

Upside SD0.16922

Downside SD0.16074

N nonnegative terms48.00000

N negative terms33.00000
 Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark

N of observations81.00000

Mean of predictor0.15894

Mean of criterion0.06988

SD of predictor0.15669

SD of criterion0.23397

Covariance0.00557

r0.15196

b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22691

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10594

Mean Square Error0.05416

DF error79.00000

t(b)1.36649

p(b)0.91217

t(a)1.13455

p(a)0.13000

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55743

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10361

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07992

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29181

Treynor index (mean / b)0.30796

Jensen alpha (a)0.10594
 Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
 Statistics related to Sharpe ratio

Mean0.04224

SD0.23685

Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.17835

Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.17667

df80.00000

t0.46336

p0.32218

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.57709

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.93270

Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.57822

Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.93156
 Statistics related to Sortino ratio

Sortino ratio0.24245

Upside Potential Ratio1.74494

Upside part of mean0.30402

Downside part of mean0.26178

Upside SD0.15874

Downside SD0.17423

N nonnegative terms48.00000

N negative terms33.00000
 Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark

N of observations81.00000

Mean of predictor0.14606

Mean of criterion0.04224

SD of predictor0.15163

SD of criterion0.23685

Covariance0.00577

r0.16058

b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25083

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07888

Mean Square Error0.05534

DF error79.00000

t(b)1.44603

p(b)0.92394

t(a)0.83889

p(a)0.20203

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59610

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09444

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10828

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26604

Treynor index (mean / b)0.16841

Jensen alpha (a)0.07888
 Risk estimates for a oneperiod unit investment (parametric)
 assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)

VaR(95%)0.10322

Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12820
 assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)

VaR(95%)0.04118

Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08668
 ORDER STATISTICS
 Quartiles of return rates

Number of observations81.00000

Minimum0.76319

Quartile 10.98048

Median1.01089

Quartile 31.04176

Maximum1.20701

Mean of quarter 10.92780

Mean of quarter 20.99884

Mean of quarter 31.02632

Mean of quarter 41.08365

Inter Quartile Range0.06128

Number outliers low3.00000

Percentage of outliers low0.03704

Mean of outliers low0.82239

Number of outliers high3.00000

Percentage of outliers high0.03704

Mean of outliers high1.18356
 Risk estimates for a oneperiod unit investment (based on Ex

Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.12627

VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05600

Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07430

Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.36417

VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05769

Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10644
 DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
 Quartiles of draw downs

Number of observations9.00000

Minimum0.03288

Quartile 10.07479

Median0.11048

Quartile 30.21770

Maximum0.25358

Mean of quarter 10.05625

Mean of quarter 20.10973

Mean of quarter 30.16823

Mean of quarter 40.24520

Inter Quartile Range0.14291

Number outliers low0.00000

Percentage of outliers low0.00000

Mean of outliers low0.00000

Number of outliers high0.00000

Percentage of outliers high0.00000

Mean of outliers high0.00000
 Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T

Extreme Value Index (moments method)5.36697

VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24826

Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24827

Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.18868

VaR(95%) (regression method)0.26358

Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.26694
 COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.08972

Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.07267

Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.28657

Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.29636

Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.56683

0.00000

0.00000
 Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
 RATIO STATISTICS
 Ratio statistics of excess return rates
 Statistics related to Sharpe ratio

Mean0.11090

SD0.30230

Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.36684

Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.36669

df1788.00000

t0.95859

p0.48867

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.38335

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.11696

Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.38347

Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.11684
 Statistics related to Sortino ratio

Sortino ratio0.45294

Upside Potential Ratio5.23824

Upside part of mean1.28250

Downside part of mean1.17161

Upside SD0.17731

Downside SD0.24483

N nonnegative terms950.00000

N negative terms839.00000
 Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark

N of observations1789.00000

Mean of predictor0.18279

Mean of criterion0.11090

SD of predictor0.22390

SD of criterion0.30230

Covariance0.01821

r0.26902

b (slope, estimate of beta)0.36323

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04500

Mean Square Error0.08482

DF error1787.00000

t(b)11.80770

p(b)0.33082

t(a)0.39879

p(a)0.49400

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30289

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42356

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17437

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26337

Treynor index (mean / b)0.30531

Jensen alpha (a)0.04450
 Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
 Statistics related to Sharpe ratio

Mean0.05665

SD0.34682

Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.16333

Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.16326

df1788.00000

t0.42680

p0.49495

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.58674

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.91341

Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.58681

Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.91334
 Statistics related to Sortino ratio

Sortino ratio0.18830

Upside Potential Ratio4.21243

Upside part of mean1.26723

Downside part of mean1.21058

Upside SD0.17243

Downside SD0.30083

N nonnegative terms950.00000

N negative terms839.00000
 Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark

N of observations1789.00000

Mean of predictor0.15735

Mean of criterion0.05665

SD of predictor0.22612

SD of criterion0.34682

Covariance0.01846

r0.23535

b (slope, estimate of beta)0.36098

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00015

Mean Square Error0.11369

DF error1787.00000

t(b)10.23660

p(b)0.35156

t(a)0.00118

p(a)0.50002

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29182

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43014

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.25346

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.25315

Treynor index (mean / b)0.15693

Jensen alpha (a)0.00015
 Risk estimates for a oneperiod unit investment (parametric)
 assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)

VaR(95%)0.03442

Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04300
 assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)

VaR(95%)0.00949

Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02179
 ORDER STATISTICS
 Quartiles of return rates

Number of observations1789.00000

Minimum0.51771

Quartile 10.99552

Median1.00068

Quartile 31.00640

Maximum1.17714

Mean of quarter 10.98398

Mean of quarter 20.99840

Mean of quarter 31.00327

Mean of quarter 41.01650

Inter Quartile Range0.01088

Number outliers low96.00000

Percentage of outliers low0.05366

Mean of outliers low0.96120

Number of outliers high82.00000

Percentage of outliers high0.04584

Mean of outliers high1.03749
 Risk estimates for a oneperiod unit investment (based on Ex

Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.43704

VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01467

Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03034

Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25959

VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01428

Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02434
 DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
 Quartiles of draw downs

Number of observations20.00000

Minimum0.00003

Quartile 10.00520

Median0.03073

Quartile 30.16146

Maximum0.51118

Mean of quarter 10.00176

Mean of quarter 20.01445

Mean of quarter 30.09134

Mean of quarter 40.28209

Inter Quartile Range0.15626

Number outliers low0.00000

Percentage of outliers low0.00000

Mean of outliers low0.00000

Number of outliers high1.00000

Percentage of outliers high0.05000

Mean of outliers high0.51118
 Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T

Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.17550

VaR(95%) (moments method)0.29923

Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.37360

Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.14159

VaR(95%) (regression method)0.26389

Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.34862
 COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11442

Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.08823

Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.17260

Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.31278

Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.05199

0.00000

0.00000
 Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
 RATIO STATISTICS
 Ratio statistics of excess return rates
 Statistics related to Sharpe ratio

Mean0.38507

SD0.86555

Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.44489

Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.44232

df130.00000

t0.31458

p0.48621

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.32829

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.21638

Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.33001

Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.21464
 Statistics related to Sortino ratio

Sortino ratio0.51531

Upside Potential Ratio4.35912

Upside part of mean3.25740

Downside part of mean2.87233

Upside SD0.43084

Downside SD0.74726

N nonnegative terms74.00000

N negative terms57.00000
 Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark

N of observations131.00000

Mean of predictor0.86596

Mean of criterion0.38507

SD of predictor0.44358

SD of criterion0.86555

Covariance0.15520

r0.40422

b (slope, estimate of beta)0.78876

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.29796

Mean Square Error0.63162

DF error129.00000

t(b)5.01944

p(b)0.24985

t(a)0.26318

p(a)0.51475

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.47785

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.09966

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.53794

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.94203

Treynor index (mean / b)0.48820

Jensen alpha (a)0.29796
 Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
 Statistics related to Sharpe ratio

Mean0.10304

SD1.06984

Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.09631

Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.09575

df130.00000

t0.06810

p0.50299

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.86802

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.67564

Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.86758

Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.67608
 Statistics related to Sortino ratio

Sortino ratio0.10477

Upside Potential Ratio3.22342

Upside part of mean3.16999

Downside part of mean3.27302

Upside SD0.41079

Downside SD0.98342

N nonnegative terms74.00000

N negative terms57.00000
 Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark

N of observations131.00000

Mean of predictor0.76368

Mean of criterion0.10304

SD of predictor0.45540

SD of criterion1.06984

Covariance0.15956

r0.32750

b (slope, estimate of beta)0.76937

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.69059

Mean Square Error1.02973

DF error129.00000

t(b)3.93679

p(b)0.29530

t(a)0.47864

p(a)0.52680

VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03400

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38271

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.15604

Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.54525

Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.16406

Treynor index (mean / b)0.13392

Jensen alpha (a)0.69059
 Risk estimates for a oneperiod unit investment (parametric)
 assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)

VaR(95%)0.10337

Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12753
 assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)

VaR(95%)0.02181

Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05213
 ORDER STATISTICS
 Quartiles of return rates

Number of observations131.00000

Minimum0.51771

Quartile 10.99514

Median1.00242

Quartile 31.01812

Maximum1.17714

Mean of quarter 10.95841

Mean of quarter 20.99865

Mean of quarter 31.00816

Mean of quarter 41.04129

Inter Quartile Range0.02298

Number outliers low9.00000

Percentage of outliers low0.06870

Mean of outliers low0.88755

Number of outliers high6.00000

Percentage of outliers high0.04580

Mean of outliers high1.09661
 Risk estimates for a oneperiod unit investment (based on Ex

Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.92122

VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03116

Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.43061

Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.64288

VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03739

Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12804
 DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
 Quartiles of draw downs

Number of observations6.00000

Minimum0.00768

Quartile 10.01390

Median0.01601

Quartile 30.14000

Maximum0.51118

Mean of quarter 10.01045

Mean of quarter 20.01593

Mean of quarter 30.01610

Mean of quarter 40.34624

Inter Quartile Range0.12610

Number outliers low0.00000

Percentage of outliers low0.00000

Mean of outliers low0.00000

Number of outliers high1.00000

Percentage of outliers high0.16667

Mean of outliers high0.51118
 Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T

Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.00000

VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00000

Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00000

Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.00000

VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00000

Last 4 Months  Pcnt Negativen/a

Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00000

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?379635000

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)182
 COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.07374

Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.07238

Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.14159

Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.20903

Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.56751
Strategy Description
5 reasons why Multimentum won't blow up (also see below for cautions)
1) Multimentum trades ETFs from the long side without
margin (though some ETFs are levered and/or inverse
products). ETFs represent ownership in many securities
sometimes spread across many countries. This makes it less
likely that an ETF will go to zero than that an options or
futures contract will expire worthless.
2) Multimentum is a global asset rotation type system. This means
that it can seek profits in many asset classes and
markets. Some other systems trade one particular market
only (such as QLD/QID). This means that Multimentum is less
likely to be caught in a situation where it has to slog
through unfavorable market conditions for the system which
may lead to whipsaws and related losses.
3) Multimentum doesn't buy dips, this means that it won't chase
an asset down buying the whole time. (dipbuy systems can be
profitable, but they can lead to large drawdowns on the way.)
4) Multimentum uses stop loss orders in the 12%15% range. This
reduces the chance that any one trade will blow up the "fund".
5) One aspect of Multimentum is a check to see if an asset's
price is above its moving average. This feature means that
the system won't try to catch falling knives. If an ETF is
plunging in value Multimentum will stay away, or buy the
corresponding short ETF if the price and volume action are
favorable.
Warning: even trading systems with plausible sounding safety
features are still subject to loss. You should only invest
your "risk capital" in trading systems such as those found on
C2. "Risk capital" means that you can gladly replenish the
investment if large losses occur.
::System Description::
This system is basically a group of "expert systems". Each expert system looks at multiperiod index data and use unique trendfollowing type strategies to determines which asset class(es) will perform the best in the near to medium term.
I chose to put "multi" in the system name because it follows multiple assets over multiple time frames using multiple diverse underlying strategies.
The system looks at price and volume momentum, it does use stops, it uses market orders, it maintains 1 or 2 open positions at a time, it trades just a few times a month, it does not use margin.
Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.
Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.
Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.
About the results you see on this Web site
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have underor overcompensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.
In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results
The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.
 Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
 Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been rescaled downward to make current goforward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
 All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any pertrade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
 "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.
Trading is risky
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Not available
This feature isn't available under your current Trade Leader Plan.
Strategy is now visible
This strategy is now visible to the public. New subscribers will be able to follow it.
If you designate your strategy as Private, it will no longer be visible to the public.
No subscribers and simulations will be allowed. If you have subscribers, the strategy will still be visible to them.
If you have simulations, they will be stopped.
Continue to designate your strategy as Private?
Strategy is no longer visible
This strategy is no longer visible to anyone except current subscribers.
(Current subscribers will remain subscribed. You can see who is subscribed, and control their subscriptions, on your Subscriber Management screen.)
Finally, please note that you can restore public visibility at any time.
This strategy is no longer visible to the public. No subscribers will be allowed.
You can restore public visibility at any time.
Suggested Minimum Capital
This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.